{"id":19244,"date":"2023-08-15T19:33:27","date_gmt":"2023-08-15T22:33:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/?p=19244"},"modified":"2023-10-27T19:14:55","modified_gmt":"2023-10-27T22:14:55","slug":"paso-en-los-municipios-del-conurbano-avance-arrollador-del-peronismo-y-corte-de-boleta-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/?p=19244","title":{"rendered":"Resultado de las elecciones PASO en el Conurbano Bonaerense"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-background-position:left top;--awb-border-sizes-top:0px;--awb-border-sizes-bottom:0px;--awb-border-sizes-left:0px;--awb-border-sizes-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-padding-top:20px;--awb-padding-bottom:20px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_2 1_2 fusion-one-half fusion-column-first\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;width:48%; margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\" style=\"--awb-text-transform:none;\"><div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-map\" data-src=\"visualisation\/14732769\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_2 1_2 fusion-one-half fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;width:48%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\" style=\"--awb-text-transform:none;\"><p style=\"text-align: right;\"><em>Autor: Fernando Molina &#8211; Responsable de Contenidos del observatorio<\/em><\/p>\n<p>En la jornada del domingo, se llevaron a cabo las Elecciones Primarias, Abiertas, Simult\u00e1neas y Obligatorias (PASO). Estas definen las candidaturas que competir\u00e1n en las pr\u00f3ximas elecciones nacionales, tanto para cargos presidenciales como para gobernadores, intendentes y legisladores que se realizar\u00e1n el 22 de octubre de 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Para sorpresa de muchos, Javier Milei emergi\u00f3 como el candidato presidencial con mayor respaldo electoral. Esto ocurri\u00f3 superando la suma de votos de los precandidatos de cada espacio pol\u00edtico, tanto de Uni\u00f3n por la Patria como de Juntos por el Cambio. Los resultados nacionales de este evento reflejan que La Libertad Avanza ha conseguido atraer votantes de ambas fuerzas, consolid\u00e1ndose como la opci\u00f3n m\u00e1s votada en diecis\u00e9is provincias.<\/p>\n<p>En el \u00e1mbito del Conurbano Bonaerense en t\u00e9rminos de cantidad de votos obtenidos, Uni\u00f3n por la Patria se posicion\u00f3 como la fuerza m\u00e1s votada en dieciocho municipios y Juntos por el Cambio logr\u00f3 liderar en seis municipios. El desempe\u00f1o de La Libertad Avanza en esta regi\u00f3n es muy particular: si bien fue la fuerza m\u00e1s votada en la categor\u00eda de presidente, en las elecciones municipales fue la segunda o tercera y no fue la fuerza mayoritaria en ning\u00fan distrito.<\/p>\n<p>Resulta evidente, al comparar estos resultados con las elecciones previas de 2021, que La Libertad Avanza ha ganado terreno significativamente. En aquel entonces, la concentraci\u00f3n de votos estaba mayormente compartida entre el Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio, llegando al 75% o 80% del total. Sin embargo, en estas PASO, la concentraci\u00f3n de votos para ambas fuerzas ha descendido a alrededor del 60%, indicando un cambio en la din\u00e1mica pol\u00edtica y una mayor competencia en el panorama electoral. Habr\u00e1 que ver hasta qu\u00e9 punto se replica esta din\u00e1mica en las elecciones generales.<\/p>\n<p>Este inesperado reparto de votos y el posicionamiento de La Libertad Avanza como la fuerza m\u00e1s votada deja un escenario de tercios, en el cual hay tres fuerzas altamente competitivas, con perfiles e interpelaciones hacia los electores muy diversas de cara a las elecciones de octubre. Pese a este fen\u00f3meno de escala nacional, el Conurbano contin\u00faa siendo un basti\u00f3n del Peronismo y ha dado en esta elecci\u00f3n una muestra m\u00e1s de la imbricaci\u00f3n de esta fuerza pol\u00edtica en el territorio m\u00e1s poblado de la Argentina.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1144px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-1 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-one\" style=\"--awb-margin-top-small:0px;--awb-margin-right-small:0px;--awb-margin-bottom-small:20px;--awb-margin-left-small:0px;\"><h1 class=\"fusion-title-heading title-heading-center\" style=\"margin:0;\"><h2>Resultado de las elecciones PASO seg\u00fan fuerza electoral.<\/h2><\/h1><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-3 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-margin-top:-50px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1144px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-3 fusion_builder_column_1_6 1_6 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:16.666666666667%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:11.52%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:11.52%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-4 fusion_builder_column_2_3 2_3 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:66.666666666667%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:2.88%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:2.88%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-3\" style=\"--awb-text-transform:none;\"><div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-map\" data-src=\"visualisation\/14733216\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-5 fusion_builder_column_1_6 1_6 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:16.666666666667%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:11.52%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:11.52%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n<!-- WP Attachments -->\r\n        <div style=\"width:100%;margin:10px 0 10px 0;\">\r\n            <h3>Documentos<\/h3>\r\n        <ul class=\"post-attachments\"><li class=\"post-attachment mime-application-pdf\">                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/?p=19244&#038;download=19278\">Elecciones-PASO2023-Entrevista-Observatorio<\/a> <\/li><\/ul><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Documentos Elecciones-PASO2023-Entrevista-Observatorio<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19268,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[646,527],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-conurbano-en-debate-agosto-2023","category-todas"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19244"}],"version-history":[{"count":22,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19244\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19272,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19244\/revisions\/19272"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/19268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/observatorioconurbano.ungs.edu.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}